It’s a change of fortunes from this summer, when Democrats outspent Republicans on TV nearly $27 million to $22 million from late May to early September, per AdImpact. According to a media-tracker source, Republicans also had an edge during that time in terms of gross rating points - a measure of how many people see ads. Mandela Barnes.īetween Labor Day and the end of September, Johnson and his GOP allies have spent more than $19 million on TV ads, while Barnes and Democratic outside groups have spent less than $14 million, according to the ad-tracking firm AdImpact. Ron Johnson has led his Democratic opponent, Wisconsin Lt. In eight of the last 10 polls cited by FiveThirtyEight, Republican Sen. It wasn’t an outlier: In eight of the last 10 polls cited by FiveThirtyEight, Johnson has led Barnes. A survey by the same organization this month put Johnson narrowly ahead by 1 point. In early August, shortly after Barnes clinched the Democratic nomination, a Marquette University Law School poll found him beating Johnson by 7 percentage polls. The Republican Party’s most successful reversal has taken place in Wisconsin. If the GOP can hold onto both seats, the party only needs to defeat one Democrat in another state - likely Nevada or Georgia - to take back a majority in the Senate. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) “In states that are 50-50 states for the presidential election, they’re likely going to be 50-50 states for Senate elections.”īut the shift toward Republicans in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania puts them on more solid footing than they were in those states over the summer. “Unfortunately, all of these races tend to revert to form,” said Sen. And news has resurfaced in recent weeks that Oz’s medical research killed and mistreated dogs and rabbits.ĭemocrats have said for months that it was inevitable that the contests across the country would narrow as a gusher of GOP money rained down onto swing states after Labor Day. In Georgia, anti-abortion Senate candidate Herschel Walker is under fire after the Daily Beast reported that he paid for a girlfriend’s abortion in 2009, which he denied. In other battleground states, such as Arizona and New Hampshire, Republicans’ paths to flipping Democratic-held Senate seats have become more challenging due to flawed nominees. The Democratic backsliding in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania is not happening in a vacuum.
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